Indian stock market remained range-bound during the past week even as stocks managed to recover quite smartly across the globe. Indian market also remained low as public sector banks remained on investor’s selling list. PNB suffered the most during the recent banking scam involving Nirav Modi and Gitanjali Gems.

Dow Jones Industrial Average staged a smart recovery over the week. While the FED meeting led to decline in Dow Jones, the U.S. markets recovered a day after Federal Reserve meeting. Dow Jones looks strong at the moment and with minor correction that started in February, markets are looking forward to gain further in upcoming weeks.

Indian Stocks remained subdued even as global markets recovered smartly. The banking sector turned the sentiment negative. During most of the trading sessions, stocks witnessed gains but by the end of the session, majority of gains were wiped out. Selling pressure was usually witnessed at higher levels.

Below is market view and outlook by SAMCO Securities....

Market crawled up during the week but gave up the gains by the close of the week, inspite of positive global sentiments, principally due to home grown PSU banking mess being denuded by Punjab National Bank. Generally such mess comes out during bottoming cycle, which PSU banks are passing through. Worst seems to have been discounted in the PSU banks but positive triggers are awaited.

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Indian stock market declined last week despite strong recovery in the U.S. markets. Indian investors continued offloading their holding at higher levels, leading to selling pressure on majority of stocks. While blue-chip companies declined less compared to mid-caps, there were select stocks that managed to recover from their recent lows. If the momentum in the U.S. market continues, Indian stocks should see recovery.

Public Sector Banks suffered after a fraud at PNB was reported last week. PNB lost ground as investors dumped the stock. Other stocks in banking sector also suffered as some of the banks reported higher NPA and slippages in the quarterly results.

Epic Research team has offered its view for the Indian markets below...

Indian markets witnessed extreme volatility as the Dow Jones Industrial Average faced sharp decline after touching all-time high during first week of February. As the U.S. markets declined, Indian stocks also witnessed selling pressure with market dropping by nearly 1,000 points in a single trading session. However, as Dow Jones recovered in the second trading session after decline, Indian stocks jumped back to cover up some of the losses.

Dow Jones declined on Thursday again, sending shockwaves across the globe. Markets in Europe and Emerging markets witnessed decline during the last trading session. Dow Jones recovered some of the losses during Friday trading but volatility has resulted in panic selling in select stocks.

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Indian economy has started showing some signs of improvement and economic indicators point towards slow recovery in government revenue. However, the GST collections have reduced in the recent months and Finance Ministry is concerned about the issue. The informal economy suffered a major blow and farm incomes reduced. The Finance Minister has introduced a budget which is focused on agriculture sector.

We present views of Shanti Ekambaram, President – Consumer Banking, Kotak Mahindra Bank on the Union Budget presented by Arun Jaitley.

A budget focused on priority segments

The Finance Minister focused the FY18/19 budget on spends in Agriculture, rural upliftment, the poor, health, education, Infrastructure and Digital India.

Indian stocks touched new all-time high this week. The markets worldwide have witnessed strong gains, mainly led by the U.S. stock markets. Investors are upbeat and strong economic signals have improved confidence of funds managers about future market returns. Indian stocks touched new high and markets were trading strong with small declines in select counters.

Indian real estate sector is expecting better growth in 2018 and the majority of gains could be witnessed in organized real estate segment. Many Indian real estate developers are working on affordable housing projects. Over the last few years, inventory levels have remained high in fast-growing Indian cities.

In 2018, real estate experts are expecting better demand for affordable housing and medium cost housing in developing cities. The bank interest rates have declined and home buyers can now buy with confidence as real estate developers will be following RERA regulations.

Indian real estate sector is undergoing major changes as the government has announced RERA regulations. State governments have notified their own RERA regulations and real estate developers have to get their projects approved under new ruling. Many rogue developers and real estate companies with limited funding will not be able to start with new projects as requirement bar has been raised by majority of states across India.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi could lead delegation of nearly 100 CEOs from Indian companies at Davos World Economic Forum in Switzerland. Many top officials and Union Ministers are also expected to attend the event of International business community. As per media reports, Modi is also expected to also expected to address a special plenary session in Davos. After 1997, Modi will be the first Indian Prime Minister to attend the event in almost two decades.

Bitcoin is showing further strength and the value could soon touch $20,000 as more people are buying cryptocurrency after its recent rally. While many technical experts, bankers and government authorities have spoken against the Bitcoin valuations, small investors have ignored those warnings. Bitcoin traded in $13,000 - $18,000 range during the first half of December 2017 but now it is looking all set to cross $20,000.

Indian automobile giant Tata Motors is aiming at improving its service network in order to boost consumer confidence in its vehicles. Tata Motors is working on a plan to rationalise the number of platforms to two from the six at the present. The company said that the motive behind the move is improved efficiency, better consumer satisfaction and cost cutting.

Indian Stock Markets are trading near their all-time high and any negative news at this point can lead to selloff in equities. While the markets have bounced back quite sharply after each minor correction, the sentiment in local markets will largely depend on global cues. The U.S. government is expected to move ahead with tax overhaul and US stocks are leading global rally on expectations of major tax relief for large businesses. Indian Markets can see volatility in December on account of Gujarat Election results.

Indian Markets Recovered from Previous Week's loss and bulls were completely in charge of the market. The sentiment among retail investors are upbeat as many stocks touched their 52-week high. Indian markets are once-again hovering around their all-time high and global cues have led further strength to Indian equities. Majority of voices talking about correction have been silenced (at least for short term) by underlying strength in the market.

Nifty ended up giving a follow up buying post a reversal pattern last week and reversed from its crucial moving averages. The comeback of bulls was led by positive cues coming in from global markets which continued to flourish near all-time highs along with domestic cues as well.

Indian stocks markets witnessed selling pressure this week but the bullish sentiment returned during the end of the week as Moody's upgraded ratings for India. Market experts are still not convinced about strength in markets to reach new highs next week. Majority of analysts indicate high chances of correction in the market. As results season is about to end, Indian markets will mainly depend on global cues for direction over next few weeks.

Indian markets scaled new highs this week as the global sentiment was bullish. As the U.S. Government announced new tax rates, investors in the United States are upbeat about economy and future results from companies (mainly due to tax cuts). BSE Sensex and NSE Nifty touched all-time high during the week. Trading in majority of stocks remained positive and many companies touched their 52-week high during the trading sessions.

Strict orders from the Supreme Court and proper implementation across the country led to reduction in emissions from firecrackers during Diwali 2017. A survey conducted by SAFAR, a central government air quality monitoring agency, has found nearly 50 percent reduction in emissions on October 19, 20 and 21. The Supreme Court announced strict ban on sales of firecrackers.

Also, there was a ban on lighting firecrackers during festivals in terms of timing. Earlier, people continued celebrating and lighting crackers till late night. The study conducted by SAFAR team added that the air quality level returned to pre-Diwali level within three days.

NSE Nifty touched an all-time high of 10,191 on Friday and closed at all-time high of 10,167. Stock markets have offered nearly 20 percent return this year with some stocks offering even more than 100 percent return in the last two quarters. Investors have turned cautious in many blue chips and we have witnessed strong selling pressure at higher levels.

Market analysts believe that Nifty can scale new highs if it strongly closes above 10,200 level. Banks have not participated in the recent pullback in the stock markets. Few banks have declared quarterly results, which have remained below market expectations. And, market analysts are not having high expectations from public sector banks considering higher provisions for bad loans.