ITC Hotels Share Price Target at Rs 220: ICICI Securities

ITC Hotels Share Price Target at Rs 220: ICICI Securities

ICICI Securities has maintained its BUY call on ITC Hotels with an unchanged 12-month target price of Rs 220, implying about 29% upside from the current market price of Rs 170. The brokerage said the hotel chain delivered a strong second quarter of FY27, with hotel revenue up 17.4% to Rs 976.6 crore, room revenue up 22% and RevPAR up 21% to Rs 9,700. Operating EBITDA rose 25% and margins widened 201 basis points to 31.3%. ICICI Securities expects MICE events, steady domestic demand and new hotels to sustain high-teens growth in H2FY27, with expansion toward 22,000-plus keys by FY31.

BUY MaintainedQ2FY27 Result Update

ITC Hotels: ICICI Securities Keeps BUY, Holds Rs 220 Target as Rooms Fill and Rates Climb

A MICE-heavy quarter lifted occupancy and room rates together. The brokerage says the momentum carries into the second half, while a 22,000-key ambition supplies the longer runway.

Guest Key
Valid 12 months

Suite

Rs 220

Check-in (CMP)

Rs 170

Upside

~29%

52-wk

Rs 261 / 137

ICICI Securities, through its ICICI Direct retail research desk, has kept its BUY rating on ITC Hotels and left its sum-of-the-parts target at Rs 220. In a result update dated Oct. 27, 2026, the brokerage described the first half of FY27 as "good" and said momentum should hold through the second half. The country's second-largest hotel company now runs 14,326 keys across more than 90 destinations.

The stock, at Rs 170, sits well below its 52-week high of Rs 261, a gap the brokerage regards as the opportunity.

The Night Audit: How the Second Quarter Closed

Consolidated hotel revenue, excluding the residential project, rose 17.4% year on year to Rs 976.6 crore. The standalone domestic business grew 16.5% to Rs 878.7 crore, and ICICI Securities estimates that ITC Ratnadipa in Colombo grew about 12% and turned EBITDA-positive. Operating EBITDA climbed 25.1% to Rs 307.6 crore, and profit after tax jumped 34% to Rs 180 crore.

Front-desk night audit · Q2FY27 vs Q2FY26 (ex-residential, Rs crore)
Metric Q2FY27 Q2FY26 YoY Q1FY27
Net revenue (Exhibit 3) 983.0 839.5 +17.1% 898.0
Operating EBITDA 307.6 245.8 +25.1% 276.1
EBITDA margin 31.3% 29.3% +201 bps 30.7%
Reported PAT 180.0 134.3 +34.0% 169.0
ADR (Rs per night) 12,800 11,300 +13.3% 11,310
RevPAR (Rs per night) 9,700 8,000 +21.3% 8,380

The quarter's signature was that occupancy and pricing rose together, which is the most profitable combination a hotelier can have. Average daily rate climbed 13.3% to about Rs 12,800, while occupancy expanded 520 basis points. The brokerage attributes much of the lift to MICE business, notably the BRICS summit in New Delhi, layered on top of resilient domestic travel.

Occupancy, one bed per 5% of rooms sold

Q2FY26 · 71%

Q2FY27 · 75-76%

Each bar is 5% of available room-nights, rounded to the nearest bed. The green bed is the extra occupancy gained this year. TopNews illustration built from ICICI Securities' printed figures.

The Lobby Directory: Where the Revenue Came From

Rooms →Rs 501 crore · +22% YoY
Food & beverage →Rs 380 crore · +12% YoY
Management fees →Rs 43 crore · +25% YoY
Sapphire Residences →Rs 71 crore · EBITDA Rs 23 crore

Management fees deserve attention because they are the asset-light engine. They rose on like-for-like growth and a steadily larger managed portfolio. Across the first half, fees grew 30% to Rs 92 crore, outpacing every other revenue line.

The Sapphire Residences project in Colombo continued its gradual handover. Four apartments covering 20,000 sq ft changed hands during the quarter, taking the cumulative tally to 20 of 132 units, or 1.01 lakh sq ft, at an average realisation above Rs 31,600 per sq ft. Including this income, consolidated EBITDA rose 37.3% to Rs 337.5 crore and adjusted PAT surged about 54% to Rs 199.4 crore.

The Key Rack: A Dual-Engine Portfolio

ITC Hotels is pursuing what the brokerage calls a dual-engine strategy, targeting an operating footprint of more than 22,000 keys by FY31. Owned inventory is set to rise from 5,841 keys to about 7,500, while managed keys are targeted to climb from 8,485 to about 15,000.

Owned · operational

5,841 keys

27 hotels

Owned · pipeline

748 keys

3 hotels

Managed · operational

8,485 keys

129 hotels

Managed · pipeline

8,192 keys

84 hotels

Total portfolio as of September 2026: 243 hotels, 23,266 keys (156 operating, 87 in the pipeline)

Signings have gathered pace, with 20 managed hotels added in H1FY27 against 15 a year earlier, and more than 60% of the 68 managed hotels signed in the past 24 months sit in the premium segment. Recent purchases of the 72-key ITC Kumarakom and the 130-key Welcomhotel Ahmedabad bolster the owned book, and a Dubai subsidiary, seeded with about Rs 20 crore, will operate hotels in the Gulf. The five owned projects under way carry their own luggage tags:


New build · 2027

Puri

118 keys


Addition · 2027

Bhubaneswar

100+ keys


Addition · 2028

ITC Grand Bharat

44 keys


New build · 2029

Visakhapatnam

200+ keys


New build · 2030

New Delhi

250+ keys

Crucially, a cash pile of about Rs 1,590 crore against debt of roughly Rs 262 crore means the company can fund acquisitions and room additions without stretching its balance sheet.

The Forecast Ledger

ICICI Securities has broadly held its estimates. It trimmed FY27E revenue by 1.2% while nudging EBITDA up 1.1%, and pared FY28E profit by 1.9%. It expects H2FY27 hotel revenue to grow in the high teens, helped by Welcomhotel Ahmedabad and other new openings.

Rs crore FY26 FY27E FY28E FY29E
Revenue 4,139.4 4,545.8 5,179.2 5,846.8
EBITDA 1,423.8 1,638.0 1,914.5 2,203.7
EBITDA margin 34.4% 36.0% 37.0% 37.7%
Adjusted PAT 877.0 1,051.5 1,286.0 1,517.2
EPS (Rs) 4.2 5.1 6.2 7.3
RoCE 10.2% 11.2% 13.0% 14.3%
P/E (x) 43.3 33.6 27.5 23.3

Building the Rs 220 Target, Floor by Floor

The target rests on a sum-of-the-parts valuation. ICICI Securities applies 21 times EV/EBITDA to average FY28-29E EBITDA, then adds the residential project and net cash.

ROOFTOP · Rs 220 per share
Floor 4 · Divide by shares208 crore shares
Floor 3 · Equity valueRs 45,746 crore
Floor 2 · Add net cash+ Rs 1,330 crore
Floor 1 · Add Sapphire Residences NAV+ Rs 1,175 crore
Ground · Hotel EV (Rs 2,059 crore x 21)Rs 43,241 crore

Net cash of Rs 1,330 crore equals FY26 cash of about Rs 1,591 crore less debt of about Rs 262 crore. On the brokerage's own table, the stock trades at 20.5 times FY27E and 17.2 times FY28E EV/EBITDA, comfortably below the 21-times multiple used for the target.

Please Do Not Disturb: The Risks

Shock events

A terror attack or pandemic could abruptly hit room demand.

Geopolitics

War or other geopolitical events could disrupt travel and performance.

Launch delays

Slippage in new hotel openings would defer the key-count ramp.

A further sensitivity is the base effect. Part of Q2's surge came from one-off MICE events such as the BRICS summit, which the next year's comparison quarter will not enjoy.

Editor's Note

The ICICI Securities report contains several internal inconsistencies, shown here rather than silently resolved:

Q2 hotel revenue: the text cites Rs 976.6 crore, up 17.4%, while Exhibit 3 shows Rs 983.0 crore, up 17.1%, and the segment split gives hotel revenue of Rs 966.3 crore, up 17.4%. Total consolidated revenue is Rs 1,047.7 crore, up 26%, in the text and Rs 1,054.1 crore, up 25.6%, in Exhibit 4.

Occupancy: 75% in the text versus 76% in Exhibit 5, which also shows 71% a year ago plus a 520-basis-point gain.

FY27E growth: the report says FY27E revenue excluding residential will grow 17% to Rs 4,545.8 crore, but the model shows that figure as 9.8% growth over FY26 revenue of Rs 4,139.4 crore.

Valuation and drawdown: the text puts the stock at 17 times/15 times FY27E/FY28E EV/EBITDA and 23% below its 52-week high; the tables show 20.5 times/17.2 times, and Rs 170 is about 35% below the Rs 261 high. TopNews uses the tabled multiples.

Horizon: the target period is 12 months, while the rating rationale defines a two-year performance horizon.

Sources

ICICI Securities (ICICI Direct Research), ITC Hotels result update, Oct. 27, 2026; research analysts Kaustubh Pawaskar, Abhishek Shankar and Sonal Rajpal. Company disclosures as cited in the report. The occupancy bed-row and SoTP tower are TopNews illustrations drawn from the report's printed figures.

Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. Read all related documents carefully before investing. This TopNews story summarises third-party research for information only and is not investment advice; readers should consult a registered adviser before acting.

Levels at a glance: ITC Hotels | BUY (ICICI Securities) | CMP Rs 170 | Target Rs 220 (12 months) | Upside ~29% | 52-week range Rs 137-261 | Basis: SoTP, 21x average FY28-29E EV/EBITDA

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