Firstsource Solutions Share Price Target at Rs 360: ICICI Securities

Firstsource Solutions Share Price Target at Rs 360: ICICI Securities

ICICI Securities, through its ICICI Direct retail research desk, has maintained its BUY rating on Firstsource Solutions Ltd with a target price of Rs 360, implying about 18% upside from the current market price of Rs 306 over 12 months. Second-quarter FY27 revenue rose 22.2% year on year to Rs 2,825.6 crore, EBIT margin widened for an eighth straight quarter to 12.5%, and net profit climbed 30.9% to Rs 232.4 crore. Management lifted the lower end of its FY27 constant-currency growth guidance to 10.5%, signed four large deals and added 17 clients, and the brokerage now values the stock at 21 times FY28 estimated earnings.

BUY · MAINTAINEDQ2FY27 Result UpdateGuidance floor raised

ICICI Securities (ICICI Direct) · Business Process Services

Firstsource Keeps the Lines Busy: Deal Wins and an Eight-Quarter Margin Run Back a Rs 360 Target

A record pipeline, a firmer guidance floor and a steady climb in profitability give ICICI Direct enough conviction to stay bullish on the outsourcing specialist.

AGENT DESKTOP · LINE 1
CONNECTED

CALLER

FIRSTSOURCE SOLUTIONS

CMP
Rs 306
TARGET
Rs 360
UPSIDE
~18%
52-WK
202-371

Basis: 21x FY28E EPS · Horizon: 12 months · Mcap Rs 20,820 cr

The Quarter on the Wallboard

Firstsource delivered a clean second quarter. Revenue rose 2.8% sequentially and 11.7% year on year in dollar terms, or 2% and 12.3% in constant currency. In rupees, the top line expanded 22.2% to Rs 2,825.6 crore, helped by a weaker currency. Net profit jumped 40% sequentially, although that comparison flatters: excluding Rs 56.3 crore of post-tax exceptional items in the first quarter, normalised profit grew 4.8% sequentially and 29.7% year on year.

LIVE WALLBOARD · Q2FY27 · ALL QUEUES

Revenue

Rs 2,826 cr

+22.2% YoY

EBIT margin

12.5%

+94 bps YoY

Net profit

Rs 232 cr

+30.9% YoY

Agents on floor

39,937

+3,062 QoQ

Attrition

28.4%

Stable

Case record · Quarterly performance (Rs crore)

Field Q2FY27 Q2FY26 YoY Q1FY27 QoQ
Revenue 2,825.6 2,312.2 22.2% 2,724.9 3.7%
Gross margin 44.1% 41.1% +303 bps 43.8% +34 bps
EBITDA 470.5 376.0 25.1% 451.3 4.3%
EBIT 352.1 266.5 32.1% 336.7 4.6%
EBIT margin 12.5% 11.5% +94 bps 12.4% +11 bps
Net profit 232.4 177.6 30.9% 165.9 40.1%

Source: company data via ICICI Direct Research. Q1FY27 profit includes Rs 56.3 crore of post-tax exceptional items.

Press 1 for Banking: Where the Growth Came From

The quarter belonged to banking and financial services. That vertical grew 9% sequentially and 19% year on year in constant currency, adding nine clients and benefiting from strong execution on a large banking engagement won earlier. Healthcare slipped 2% sequentially, but still grew 5% year on year, as payer-programme ramps and the earlier wind-down of an outsourced platform contract weighed on it. Management says those headwinds are largely behind it.

1

Banking & financial services

35.5% of mix
+9.9% QoQ

2

Healthcare

31.6% of mix
-1.6% QoQ

3

Communications, media & tech

20.6% of mix
+2.8% QoQ

4

Diverse industries

12.3% of mix
-4.2% QoQ

Call routing by geography (share of revenue)

North America 65.6%
Europe, Middle East & Africa 32.7%

North America grew 1.5% and Europe, Middle East and Africa 6% sequentially; the small remainder includes Australia, up 50% year on year.

A Full Queue: Deals, Logos and the Strongest-Ever Pipeline

Commercial momentum is the bedrock of the thesis. Firstsource signed four large deals, each with annual contract value above roughly Rs 48 crore, two of them with new clients. It added 17 logos, six of them strategic, meaning each could grow to an annual run rate of about Rs 48 crore or more. Clients of that size rose by six to 51. Headcount swelled by 3,062, chiefly from associates transferring in from a major banking client, with India and the Philippines supplying over 85% of the additions.

TICKET #01 · CLOSED WON

4

large deals signed, two from new clients

TICKET #02 · NEW CALLERS

17

new logos, including 6 strategic accounts

TICKET #03 · VIP ACCOUNTS

51

clients above ~Rs 48 crore a year, up 6 QoQ

TICKET #04 · IN QUEUE

Strongest ever

deal pipeline, per management

Service-Level Targets: Guidance, Old and New

Management nudged the floor of its FY27 constant-currency revenue guidance up by 50 bps to 10.5-13% and expects the second half to outpace the first as large deals ramp. It held FY27 EBIT margin guidance at 12.25-12.75% and reiterated a medium-term goal of 14-15%, implying 50-75 bps of annual improvement. The margin climb has been notable: eight consecutive quarters of sequential expansion, achieved despite wage increments and hiring over 3,000 people ahead of revenue.

FY27 revenue growth guidance, constant currency (scale 9-14%)

Hatched: earlier 10-13% · Solid: revised 10.5-13%

EBIT margin (scale 11-16%)

Pink: FY27 guide 12.25-12.75% · Black pin: Q2 actual 12.5% · Light pink: FY28E 12.9% · Green: medium-term 14-15%

From Headsets to Platforms: The Kairos Bet

The longer-term case rests on Firstsource shifting from staffing-led outsourcing to productised, AI-enabled services through Kairos, its AI-native operating system. Management says more than 50% of revenue is already non-linear, meaning it is not tied to headcount, giving a base for outcome-linked and value-based pricing. Demand for AI-led transformation across banking, healthcare and customer experience, the brokerage argues, opens room to deepen relationships and win a larger share of client budgets.

TIER 1 · DOMAIN

Domain-specific knowledge and repeatable workflows

→

TIER 2 · AUTOMATE

Intelligent context and governed autonomy at scale

→

ESCALATE · HUMAN

Human oversight retained in regulated processes

Estimates Upgraded, Target Held

ICICI Direct raised FY28 earnings estimates by 6.2% and now builds in EBIT margins of 12.5% and 12.9% for FY27 and FY28. It expects revenue to compound at 15.2% and net profit at 33.1% a year over FY26-28, lifting return on equity to 21.5%.

Rs crore FY26 FY27E FY28E FY28E revision
Net sales 9,556 11,421 12,691 +3.3%
EBITDA 1,556 1,908 2,157 -
EBIT margin - 12.5% 12.9% +30 bps
Net profit 674 920 1,195 +6.2%
EPS (Rs) 9.6 13.1 17.0 +6.2%
RoE 15.4% 18.8% 21.5% -
P/E at CMP Rs 306 (TopNews calc) 31.9x 23.4x 18.0x -

Call Wrap-Up: What the Target Means for Investors

ICICI Direct values Firstsource at 21 times FY28 estimated EPS of Rs 17.0, which yields the Rs 360 target, about 18% above the Rs 306 market price. The house cites strong deal momentum, improving revenue visibility and sustained sequential margin expansion as the reasons to stay at BUY.

For investors, the stock sits about 18% below its 52-week high of Rs 371 and roughly 51% above its low of Rs 202. At the current price it trades near 18 times FY28 earnings, so the target assumes a modest re-rating alongside profit growth of about 30% a year. Patient investors could accumulate on dips, with the second-half deal ramp as the key checkpoint.

WRAP-UP CODE: BUY / RETAIN

FY28E EPS ............ Rs 17.0

x Target multiple ...... 21x

= Fair value ...... ~Rs 357-360

Target price ......... Rs 360

CMP .................. Rs 306

Upside ................. ~18%

Unrounded FY28E EPS (Rs 1,195 cr / 69.7 cr shares) is ~Rs 17.15, which gives Rs 360 at 21x.

Open Escalations: Key Risks

P1 · FLAGGED BY ICICI DIRECT

Slower growth: revenue and margin expansion could trail expectations.

P1 · FLAGGED BY ICICI DIRECT

Pipeline conversion: deal pipeline growth and conversion could slow.

P2 · TOPNEWS OBSERVATION

Concentration and churn: North America is about two-thirds of revenue, and voluntary attrition remains high at 28.4%.

Editor's Note

A few points in the report do not line up, and we show them rather than resolve them silently. The first page prints two quarterly dollar revenue figures side by side; the detailed section confirms the higher one, which we use. The report says dollar revenue will grow at a 15.2% compound rate over FY26-28, but 15.2% is exactly the rupee net-sales rate in its own table, and its dollar estimates rise only about 11% from FY27 to FY28; we present 15.2% as the rupee figure. The printed P/E ratios (30.9x, 22.6x and 17.4x) and the Rs 20,820 crore market value appear to use a price near Rs 296-299 rather than the Rs 306 quoted; at Rs 306, P/E is 23.4x FY27 and 18.0x FY28.

Dollar amounts are converted at about Rs 95.5, the rate implied by the report's own quarterly revenue. The third risk card, P/E at the current price and the unrounded EPS are TopNews additions.

Sources

ICICI Securities (ICICI Direct Retail Research), Firstsource Solutions Result Update, Oct. 30, 2026 (analysts Bhupendra Tiwary and Anjini Sharma); company Q2FY27 results and management commentary as cited in the report.

Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. This TopNews Story summarises a third-party research report for information only and is not investment advice. Read all related documents carefully and consult a registered adviser before investing.

Levels at a glance: Firstsource Solutions | ICICI Securities BUY | CMP Rs 306 | Target Rs 360 | Upside ~18% | 52-wk Rs 202-371 | 21x FY28E EPS | 12 months
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