The USD/JPY is making another move to break out of February highs on Wednesday as the Tankan Manufacturing Index came in below analyst expectations. However, we have not seen as severe of a reaction to the upside as we expected.
Perhaps investors are tempered by the news the U. S. government will likely opt for the bankruptcy of GM and Chrysler. Regardless, the deterioration of the Japanese economy is outpacing even reduced analyst expectations while U. S. economic data has shown signs of stabilization.
Therefore, with the Carry Trade unwound, the U. S. is clearly winning the battle between the two economies. Hence, a retest of 100 seems all but inevitable.