Gold has carried it's upwards momentum into Thursday's trading session despite the S&P futures trading higher pre-market. Therefore, we could see a pop towards our 1st tier downtrend line as investors take advantage of oversold conditions.

Of course, the path of gold will ultimately depend on its negative correlation with equities. If the U. S. economic releases come in better than expected today, we could see a rapid reversal into the precious metal's debilitating downtrend.

The downtrend is clearly still in play with the uptrend's backbone broken and the highly psychological $900/oz relaxing in the distance. The near-term uphill battle will be yesterday's highs, or our previous $890.64/oz resistance.

Crude futures shot higher yesterday on impressive volume despite weekly inventories coming in slightly higher than expectations. Even though the number missed, inventory levels were still an improvement from last week's rise of 2.8 million barrels.

Crude futures proceeded to muscle through our 1st and 2nd tier uptrend lines and rallied past the highly psychological $50/bbl level in the process.

Despite the strong rally, the futures were deflected by our 1st tier downtrend line while backing away from 4/7 highs, indicating the downtrend continues to pull its weight.

The weak rally in the 30 Year futures peaked yesterday as anticipated. The futures are making a clear commitment to the downtrend, and will need a sharp reversal in equities to change this development.

The 30 Year futures are dropping below 3/24 lows as we type, and a retracement beneath our downtrend line seems imminent. The question becomes whether April lows can hold. If not, then we could see the present selloff pick up. April volume remains relatively light compared to March.

The downturn in the 30 Year futures could be a cause for concern for the Federal Reserve, indicating the concept of quantitative easing may not have the desired impact on interest rates.

The S&P futures are popping Thursday pre-market after Wells Fargo announced earnings that blew away analyst estimates. Additionally, the U. S. just released better than expected Trade Balance and Unemployment Claims data, only adding fuel to the fire.

The futures have leapt through our 2nd tier downtrend line and are approaching our 3rd tier as we speak. If the S&P futures can carry their momentum through our 3rd tier downtrend line we should see a retest of April highs and a possible breakout.

The better than expected earnings from Wells Fargo will be met with cheers on the exchange today since investors have been biting their nails over earnings from financials.

The USD/JPY is wrestling with the almighty 100 level again today after briefly dropping below. The USD/JPY strengthened slightly after Japan released a better than excepted trade balance. However, the optimism is faint since a record decline in imports is responsible for the improvement.

Therefore, consumers are tightening their budgets as the economic downturn picks up steam. Japan continues to be the hardest hit in the global economic crisis. Export demand has been cut in half with consumers world-wide losing their taste for durable goods.

The Cable continues to show relative strength on the back of surprisingly positive data surfacing from Britain over the past couple weeks. The GBP/USD kept its cool yesterday despite the broad selloff in U. S. equities and the Cable is running with the EUR/USD and U. S. equities Wednesday morning.

We expect to see the Cable's strength continue as long as Britain's data outperforms and its major financial institutions stay out of the headlines. If U. S. equities and the EUR/USD head north today, the GBP/USD should follow. On the other hand, if U. S. equities selloff again, we may see the Cable hold up once more.