Buy Power Grid With Target Of Rs 115

POWER GRID CORPORATIONPower Grid’s (PGCIL) Q3FY11 results were in line with our expectations with revenues and adjusted PAT each growing by 22% to Rs20bn and Rs6bn respectively. Capitalization increased marginally during the quarter to Rs68bn from ~Rs51bn in H1 FY11. We believe PGCIL offers the best bet as its capex and capitalization continues to remain on track. Re-iterate BUY with a target price of Rs115/share.

Healthy 22% growth in revenues

Buy AIA Engineering With Target Of Rs 355

AIA ENGINEERING LTDAIA Engineering's (AIA) Q3FY11 results were below our expectations. Revenues grew by 15% YoY to Rs2.93bn against our estimate of Rs3.1bn. Higher RM cost (which could not be passed on fully) adversely affected margins which fell by 540bps at operating level. Realisations however, improved to Rs97/kg vs Rs86/kg (YoY basis). Management has further reduced its volume guidance for FY11 and FY12 by ~4-5%. Rupee appreciation and volume growth remain key risks in the long run. At current price we believe the stock is fairly valued and therefore, recommend a HOLD with a target price of Rs355 (14xFY12E).

Buy Monnet Ispat With Target Of Rs 697

MONNET ISPAT LTD.Monnet Ispat's Q3FY11 revenue at Rs3.5bn and EBITDA at Rs1.1bn declined 7% and 3% YoY respectively as contribution from power sales declined 40% YoY due to reduced tariff. OPM expanded by 120bps YoY to 31.4%. However, PAT at Rs702mn grew 3% YoY on higher other income and lower interest.

Steel output subdued in Q3, but focus coming back: Steel sales (incl. DRI, ferro alloys) declined 10% YoY to 151kt on lower sales of steel (down 98% YoY to 626 tonnes, mostly rejects at a realisation of only ~Rs12/kg). The company has increased focus on steel production (billets, structurals) and expects to ramp-up output and sales in Q4.

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