Nvidia Stock Price Faces Resistance at $200; Demand for AI Chips Remains Strong

Nvidia Stock Price Faces Resistance at $200; Demand for AI Chips Remains Strong

Nvidia stock price declined on Tuesday as selling pressure was evident at higher levels for the technology major riding the AI demand rally in stock markets. Nvidia opened the session at $195.16 and managed to reach a session high at $195.42 before declining to intraday lows at $191.30. The stock closed almost 3 percent lower at $193.16. The demand for Nvidia chips remains strong. Component providers are facing struggle as demand remains high. Nvidia’s unprecedented surge in wafer orders from Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) signals not only a new chapter for the artificial intelligence industry but also a remarkable paradigm shift in global semiconductor supply dynamics.

With the semiconductor behemoth’s CEO Jensen Huang confirming explosive demand for the Blackwell AI platform, Nvidia’s decision to request a 50% ramp-up in advanced 3-nanometer wafer output tightens its grip on state-of-the-art computation. This intensifying partnership amplifies the critical role TSMC plays in Nvidia’s ascent and demonstrates how memory giants and supply chain partners are racing to sustain the feverish pace of AI-driven hardware innovation.

Nvidia Ramps Up Blackwell Production at TSMC

Nvidia’s push to dominate the next phase of AI innovation has reached a new milestone as CEO Jensen Huang asked TSMC to significantly boost its advanced 3nm wafer allocation. Speaking on November 8 in Hsinchu, Taiwan, Huang characterized demand for Nvidia’s latest Blackwell AI processors as “very strong,” leading to a direct request for additional monthly wafer supplies to fulfill ballooning customer orders. The agreement tasks TSMC’s flagship site at the Southern Taiwan Science Park with raising its monthly 3nm output from roughly 100,000–110,000 wafers to an aggressive 160,000 wafers.

This expansion earmarks an additional 35,000 wafers per month for Nvidia production alone, a move that has far-reaching consequences not just for GPU volumes but an entire suite of chipsets—encompassing CPUs, networking modules, and high-bandwidth interconnect switches—anchoring the Blackwell architecture. “Nvidia builds the GPU, but we also build the CPU, the networking, and the switches—so there are a lot of chips associated with Blackwell,” Huang explained, providing vital clarity on the breadth of TSMC’s wafer demand.

Memory Suppliers Scale Up for AI Supercycle

Meeting Nvidia’s surging requirements is not solely TSMC’s challenge. The entire memory supply chain is now turbocharging capacity to keep pace. Huang revealed that all three leading memory suppliers—SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, and Micron Technology—have provided advanced samples to Nvidia. They are collectively “scaling up tremendous capacity” to stay aligned with Nvidia’s hardware roadmap. Notably, SK Hynix has completely sold out its memory output for 2026, with plans for expanded investment on the horizon to support what is widely called an AI-driven “super cycle.”

Samsung, meanwhile, is in advanced negotiations to deliver next-generation HBM4 memory for Nvidia’s highly anticipated Rubin platform, scheduled to debut in late 2026. In parallel, Micron’s commitment to advanced memory innovation underscores the intensity of the sector’s race to fuel Nvidia’s soaring ambitions.

TSMC-Nvidia Partnership: The Backbone of AI Leadership

The enduring alliance between Nvidia and TSMC underpins not only this current escalation in wafer orders but the very momentum propelling AI hardware leadership globally. During what was already his fourth trip to Taiwan this year, Huang lauded TSMC as the “pride of the world,” acknowledging that “without TSMC, there would be no Nvidia today.” This mutual dependence is strategic: Nvidia’s future AI chips—including Blackwell Ultra, GB300, and the upcoming Vera Rubin platform—will all be manufactured on TSMC’s cutting-edge N3P process node.

With TSMC’s 3nm and 5nm fabrication lines already projected to be fully booked through 2026, supply visibility remains crucial not only for Nvidia’s dominance but for the entire AI, cloud, and high-performance computing industries reliant on state-of-the-art silicon.

Export Restrictions: Geopolitics in Play

Despite the escalating scale of Nvidia’s operations, one market remains conspicuously out of reach. CEO Huang confirmed that there are no active plans to sell Blackwell chips to China, as strict U.S. export controls—maintained under President Trump’s administration—continue to preclude direct involvement with the Chinese market for Nvidia’s latest technology. For now, this ensures AI hardware leadership remains concentrated among U.S. allies and partners, reinforcing Taiwan’s strategic centrality in the global semiconductor value chain.

Strategic Takeaways for Investors

  • Nvidia’s 50% wafer order increase from TSMC signifies both insatiable AI infrastructure demand and the company’s intensifying competitive moat in next-generation chip technology.
  • Memory sector leaders are committing record investments to catch up with future AI chip requirements, suggesting a sustained multi-year growth pulse for the entire semiconductor ecosystem.
  • TSMC’s fabrication capacity is effectively sold out for advanced nodes, heightening competition among major technology players for the world’s most advanced manufacturing capacity.
  • Geopolitical risk remains a structural factor, as U.S. export restrictions mean that access to Nvidia’s bleeding-edge AI hardware will remain limited to select global customers.

Broader Implications and Outlook

Nvidia’s aggressive expansion of wafer orders and the concerted memory supply ramp-up illustrate the remarkable gravitational pull of the AI-driven “super cycle” reverberating through global supply chains. For investors and industry strategists alike, the message from Taiwan is clear: those controlling advanced silicon manufacturing and memory throughput will define the trajectory of the digital economy for years to come. With supply already approaching full capacity, the map of winners and laggards in the next wave of digital transformation is taking shape—one wafer, one gigabyte at a time.

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