SAMHI Hotels Share Price Target at Rs 264: Prabhudas Lilladher
Prabhudas Lilladher (PL Capital) has reiterated a BUY recommendation on Samhi Hotels with a target price of Rs264, compared with the current market price of around Rs147. The brokerage believes the hospitality company’s strategic investment in RARE India—a luxury experiential hospitality platform—will unlock a new growth avenue in the leisure segment through an asset-light model. This move is expected to diversify Samhi’s revenue base while strengthening operational metrics through a partnership with Marriott. With revenue and EBITDA projected to grow at robust rates over the next few years, analysts see significant upside potential supported by improved occupancy, rising average room rates, and strong operating leverage.
Strategic Entry Into Leisure Hospitality Through RARE India
Samhi Hotels has taken a decisive step toward expanding into India’s fast-growing experiential leisure hospitality market. The company has agreed to acquire a 70% stake in RARE India, a boutique luxury hospitality platform known for curating premium properties such as palaces, heritage forts, wildlife lodges, and hill retreats.
The transaction, valued at approximately Rs474 million, will be executed in two stages. Around Rs234 million will be invested as primary capital into the business, while roughly Rs240 million will be used to acquire partnership interests from existing shareholders.
RARE currently manages a portfolio of 67 hotels comprising nearly 990 rooms spread across more than 15 states in India, along with select properties in Nepal and Bhutan. This curated collection positions the platform at the premium end of the hospitality spectrum, with most properties commanding average room rates above Rs25,000 per night.
For Samhi, this investment represents a strategic pivot toward the high-margin experiential travel segment without the capital intensity typically associated with owning luxury assets.
Asset-Light Expansion Strengthens Business Model
The acquisition aligns with Samhi’s long-term strategy of scaling its hospitality footprint while maintaining capital discipline.
Unlike traditional hotel ownership models that require heavy investments in real estate and infrastructure, RARE operates as a platform that aggregates and markets boutique hospitality properties. This asset-light structure allows Samhi to expand its reach into premium tourism destinations while limiting balance-sheet risk.
Analysts believe the model also provides significant scalability. As more boutique property owners join the platform, Samhi benefits from listing fees and commissions without the need for major capital deployment.
Moreover, the curated approach differentiates RARE from crowded homestay and villa aggregation platforms by focusing on high-end experiential properties that appeal to affluent travelers seeking unique stays.
Marriott Partnership Expected to Unlock Growth
A key catalyst behind the investment thesis is the platform’s strategic partnership with Marriott International.
Following Samhi’s investment, RARE will serve as Marriott’s exclusive platform for the “Outdoor Collection by Marriott Bonvoy” across India, Nepal, Sri Lanka, and Bhutan. This partnership is expected to significantly elevate RARE’s visibility and operational performance.
The affiliation with Marriott offers several advantages:
Enhanced brand credibility and global marketing reach
Access to Marriott’s extensive loyalty program and booking ecosystem
Higher occupancy rates and stronger pricing power
Current occupancy levels across RARE properties stand at roughly 35–45%. Analysts expect these levels to rise toward 50–55% as the Marriott integration takes effect. At the same time, average room rates could increase by approximately 15% due to the brand’s global distribution capabilities.
This combination of higher occupancy and improved pricing is likely to significantly boost platform revenue.
New Revenue Streams Through B2C Booking Platform
One of the most significant opportunities lies in the transition from a primarily B2B listing model to a direct consumer booking ecosystem.
Currently, RARE generates income largely from subscription fees paid by property owners, typically ranging between Rs0.2 million and Rs0.4 million annually per hotel. In addition, the platform earns commissions of around 18–20% on bookings.
However, the commission stream has been limited due to the absence of a fully developed direct booking platform.
Once the B2C platform becomes fully operational within the Marriott ecosystem, analysts expect direct bookings to accelerate significantly.
Projected B2C revenue estimates include:
| Financial Year | Projected B2C Revenue (Rs mn) |
|---|---|
| FY27E | 425 |
| FY28E | 556 |
| FY29E | 709 |
This transition is expected to transform RARE into a high-margin digital hospitality platform.
Rapid Network Expansion on the Horizon
RARE’s growth trajectory is expected to accelerate through aggressive expansion of its curated property network.
The platform is currently in discussions with owners of approximately 25–30 additional boutique hotels. If these negotiations materialize, the portfolio could expand from the current 67 hotels to nearly 90–100 properties in the near term.
Over the next three years, management aims to scale the platform to around 120–150 properties, potentially increasing the room inventory to nearly 1,800–2,200 rooms.
Such expansion could dramatically increase the enterprise revenue generated by properties listed on the platform—from about Rs2.5 billion currently to nearly Rs8 billion in the medium term.
Financial Outlook and Profitability Metrics
Samhi Hotels’ financial trajectory appears increasingly robust as the company benefits from operational leverage and new revenue streams.
Key projections include:
| Metric | FY26E | FY27E | FY28E |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue (Rs mn) | 12,974 | 14,868 | 17,279 |
| EBITDA (Rs mn) | 4,708 | 5,796 | 7,126 |
| EBITDA Margin | 36.3% | 39.0% | 41.2% |
| EPS (Rs) | 6.2 | 12.0 | 14.7 |
These projections imply strong operating leverage as margins expand steadily and profitability accelerates. Analysts estimate a revenue CAGR of roughly 15% and EBITDA CAGR of approximately 23% between FY26 and FY28.
Valuation and Investment Thesis
At the current market price of around Rs147, analysts believe Samhi Hotels offers significant valuation upside.
The target price of Rs264 is based on a valuation multiple of approximately 10.5 times FY28 expected EBITDA. Despite a slight reduction from the earlier valuation benchmark of 12x EBITDA, the brokerage continues to see compelling upside due to strong earnings growth and the company’s expanding presence in the premium hospitality segment.
From a valuation standpoint, the company’s forward multiples appear attractive as profitability improves:
FY27E Price-to-Earnings: ~12.2x
FY28E Price-to-Earnings: ~10.0x
FY28E EV/EBITDA: ~5.8x
Such levels remain relatively inexpensive compared with several hospitality peers.
Investment Outlook: Why Analysts Remain Bullish
Several structural catalysts underpin the bullish outlook for Samhi Hotels.
First, the company is strategically entering the experiential tourism segment, one of the fastest-growing niches in India’s travel industry.
Second, the partnership with Marriott provides global distribution capabilities that can dramatically improve occupancy and pricing power.
Third, the asset-light model ensures high returns on capital while minimizing the need for large capital investments.
Finally, the anticipated launch of a direct booking ecosystem could unlock high-margin digital revenue streams.
Taken together, these factors position Samhi Hotels as a compelling hospitality growth story with significant upside potential over the coming years.
Investor Disclaimer: Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making investment decisions. Stock market investments are subject to market risks, and past performance does not guarantee future returns.
