Forex Update

S&P Daily Commentary for 3.3.09

The S&P futures are up slightly after Monday's intense sell-off as investors await Pending Home Sales and Fed Chairman Bernanke's testimony before Congress. U. S. equities came under intense selling pressure yesterday despite slightly better than expected ISM Manufacturing PMI and Consumer Spending data.

Investors were locked in on the government's most recent bailout of AIG after the insurer posted a horrible earnings loss. The term traveling around town is `systemic risk'. In other words, companies such as AIG and Citigroup may be too big to fail, posing substantial risk to the entire financial system. Citigroup logged another 20% loss while BofA lost another 8% and change.

Gold Daily Commentary for 3.3.09

Gold continued its decline on Monday despite crashing U. S. equities. Gold dropped below all of our supports and tripped beneath our 1st tier uptrend line. Therefore, if Gold does not rise back above the uptrend line very soon, we could see a heightened sell-off in the near-term.

Although the fundamentals are turning negative for the time being, the medium-term uptrend is not lost. There are multiple layers of uptrend the precious metal must fall below before we can call the uptrend dead.

Treasury Bond Daily Commentary for 3.3.09

The 30 Year T-Bond futures backed away from our 126.64 resistance on Monday despite the massive selloff in U. S. equities. Since equities and treasuries are normally negatively correlated, the lack of movement to the upside in the 30 Year shows the downtrend is intact.

Furthermore, the fact the 30 Year futures are declining with equities shows investors are concerned the demand for government debt is insufficient to satisfy supply. As a result, yields are rising and price falling, placing exorbitant downward pressure on the 30 Year T-Bond futures.

Corn Daily Commentary for 3.3.09

Corn futures recovered a bit yesterday despite the steep selloff in the S&P futures. However, the corn futures are still below our near-term downtrend line and all three uptrend lines. Therefore, we maintain our negative stance on corn. If corn should fall beneath February lows, then we anticipate a large selloff with a possible retest of December lows.

Corn futures are following the path of U. S. equities. With Prelim GDP coming in well below expectations, investors are anticipating the demand side of the equation to diminish further. As the U. S. economy grinds to a halt, food consumption should decline.

Crude Daily Commentary for 3.3.09

Crude futures crashed on Monday, following U. S. equities into the dumps. Valuations in the stock market have investors worried about the U. S. and global economy as a whole for obvious reasons. Therefore, investors ignored the OPEC supply constraints and sent crude tumbling. However, Crude futures are recovering above the psychological $40/bbl area on Tuesday, and are now lodged solidly between our 1st and 2nd tier downtrend lines.

EURO USD Forex Trading Tips and Analysis for Day Traders

Pages