CoForge Limited Share Price Target at Rs 1,950: ICICI Securities

CoForge Limited Share Price Target at Rs 1,950: ICICI Securities

ICICI Securities has maintained a Buy rating on Coforge Limited, setting a target price of Rs 1,950, implying a 17% upside from the current market price of Rs 1,669. The brokerage's July 28 result update highlights a strong June-quarter performance for the IT services provider, with dollar revenue up 33.3% year-on-year, aided by its recent Encora acquisition. Organic growth of 5.2% sequentially came in well ahead of the company's own flat guidance, while margins held above management's full-year targets despite integration costs. The brokerage points to a record order book and a robust large-deal pipeline as the core drivers of its FY27 growth confidence.

Coforge's Organic Growth Outpaces Its Own Guidance; ICICI Securities Holds Buy at Rs 1,950

Record order book and a historic large-deal pipeline reinforce the IT services provider's FY27 outlook, even as integration of the Encora acquisition continues.

Rating

Buy

Target Price

Rs 1,950

CMP (28-Jul-26)

Rs 1,669

Implied Upside

17%

Growth That Beat Its Own Modest Guidance

ICICI Securities' Q1FY27 result update on Coforge opens with a company that had guided for a broadly flat quarter and instead delivered growth well ahead of that bar, aided by the integration of recently acquired Encora.

  • Revenue reached $592.2 million, up 33.3% year-on-year and 21.1% quarter-on-quarter in dollar terms, including a $100.7 million contribution from two months of Encora.
  • Organic revenue, stripping out both Encora and planned portfolio exits, grew 5.2% sequentially in constant currency — well above the company's own guidance of a roughly flat quarter.
  • In rupee terms, revenue stood at Rs 5,527.7 crore, up 24% quarter-on-quarter and 50% year-on-year.
  • Profit after tax from continuing operations was Rs 518.6 crore, up 109.8% year-on-year, though down 15.3% sequentially on higher depreciation and interest costs tied to the Encora deal.

A Record Order Book Anchors the Outlook

Management expects Q2 to be a robust growth quarter, with growth momentum sustaining thereafter, and remains confident of delivering industry-leading revenue growth in FY27, the brokerage notes — a view it says is supported by a record 12-month executable order book of $2.23 billion, up 44.2% year-on-year.

Order intake for the quarter stood at $691 million, comprising four large deals and excluding any incremental Encora-related bookings. The company's large-deal pipeline heading into the second quarter is, according to the report, the strongest in Coforge's history, including a recently announced $230 million-plus, five-year artificial-intelligence-led transformation deal that will book in the current quarter rather than the one just reported.

ICICI Securities projects Coforge's dollar revenue to grow at a 27.2% compound annual rate over FY26-28E, with organic growth contributing 11.3% of that trajectory.

Margins Ahead of Guidance Despite Integration Costs

Consolidated EBIT margin stood at 16% for the quarter — already ahead of management's full-year guidance of roughly 15.5% or higher — while the organic EBIT margin, excluding Encora, held even stronger at 16.7%. Encora itself delivered a 19.1% EBIT margin in its first quarter under Coforge's ownership.

Metric Q1FY27 QoQ Change
EBITDA Margin 20.3% -28 bps
EBIT Margin (Consolidated) 16.0% -60 bps
EBIT Margin (Organic) 16.7% +10 bps

Management attributes the sequential margin dip largely to acquisition-related dynamics rather than underlying pressure, and has already cut Encora's general and administrative costs by roughly 40%, with further synergies expected in the current quarter. The company reiterated its FY27 guidance of a 20.5-21% consolidated EBITDA margin and a 16.5-17% standalone EBIT margin.

Where the Growth Is Coming From

  1. Healthcare and hi-tech emerged as the standout vertical, growing 11.6% sequentially in organic constant-currency terms, with Encora nearly doubling Coforge's healthcare capabilities and materially strengthening its hi-tech presence.
  2. Geographic mix shifted toward the Americas, which represents 61.8% of revenue and grew 35.4% sequentially in dollar terms, while regions outside the Americas and Europe declined, an effect the brokerage attributes to planned exits from a low-margin India government contract and a data-center asset divestment rather than underlying demand weakness.
  3. Artificial intelligence-led services now account for 86% of consolidated revenue, ahead of the roughly 80% level indicated at the time of the Encora acquisition, supported by more than 11,000 data and AI practitioners and over 100 reusable AI agents.

The Encora Integration, and What It Cost

Coforge funded the Encora acquisition with a $550 million three-year term loan at 4.6% interest. Integration has moved ahead of plan, with all 45 legal entities migrated onto a common technology platform and operational control fully transitioned to Coforge's leadership team. Management remains confident the deal will be earnings-accretive in FY27.

Headcount rose by 10,451 sequentially to 46,228, including 9,256 employees who joined via Encora, while trailing-twelve-month attrition declined to 10.4%, which the report describes as among the lowest in the industry. The Board also declared an interim dividend of Rs 4 per share.

Estimates and Valuation

Metric (Rs Cr) FY26 FY27E FY28E
Net Sales 16,403 24,894 28,301
EBITDA 3,046 5,055 5,745
Net Profit 1,485 2,619 3,206
Diluted EPS (Rs) 45.9 59.2 72.5
P/E (x) 36.4 28.2 23.0

ICICI Securities values Coforge at approximately 27 times FY28E earnings per share to arrive at its Rs 1,950 target, citing strong organic growth, the record order book, and margin performance that has outpaced guidance despite the complexity of integrating a major acquisition.

Levels for Investors

Level Price (Rs)
52-Week High 1,989
52-Week Low 1,008
Current Market Price 1,669
Target Price (Buy, 12-month) 1,950

Risks Worth Watching

  • Revenue growth or the pace of large-deal conversions could fall short of expectations.
  • Cost synergies from the Encora acquisition may take longer to materialize than currently planned, pressuring near-term margin assumptions.

Sources & Disclosures

This report draws on a Result Update on Coforge Ltd. published by ICICI Securities' Retail Research desk (ICICI Direct Research), dated July 28, 2026, along with the company's Q1FY27 consolidated financial disclosures.

Market risk disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risk. Brokerage ratings, price targets and earnings estimates reflect the analysts' views at the time of publication and are not a guarantee of future performance. Readers should conduct independent due diligence or consult a qualified financial adviser before making investment decisions.

General: 
Companies: 
Analyst Views: 
Regions: