Commodity Trading Tips for Aluminium by KediaCommodity

Commodity Trading Tips for Aluminium by KediaCommodityAluminium settled down -0.22% at 114.15 slipped on Friday but still posted their biggest weekly rise in more than nine months, having earlier hit a four-month peak as U. S. jobs data boosted the demand outlook for industrial metals. Earlier this week prices gained as global aluminium producers have done well to curtail output and also successfully ward off the challenge posed by the proposed rule change for LME-linked warehouses.

In the June quarter, aluminium prices on an average have risen 5.3% over the preceding quarter. Report says the regional premium payable for metal deliveries to Japan for the July-September quarter has risen by 8-12% over the preceding quarter. All this should mean extra dollars for every tonne of metal produced by aluminium firms. Regional premiums are payable by buyers for getting quicker deliveries of the metal. Earlier this year, there were fears metal supplies would increase after LME's proposed rule change that would have forced warehouses to cut down on queues for metal supplies.

But a successful legal challenge stopped that proposal in its tracks. Still, the situation in 2014 looked rather difficult due to new aluminium supply coming in to the market, with doubts whether demand growth could absorb that increase. But the industry decided to shutter unviable capacity to improve profitability and, more importantly, to give support to prices. Also, Chinese aluminium companies are not flooding the market as feared, according to a Rio Tinto Plc presentation, and it also expects the country to be self-sufficient over the medium term.

Rio expects global inventory levels to come down due to demand growth exceeding output, and support LME prices. Also, a ban on bauxite exports from Indonesia has given a cost-push? to? aluminium? prices, too. Technically market is under long liquidation and getting support at 114 and below same could see a test of 113.7 level, And resistance is now likely to be seen at 114.7, a move above could see prices testing 115.10.

Aluminium trading range for the day is 113.7-115.1.

Aluminium slipped but still posted their biggest weekly rise as U. S. jobs data boosted the demand outlook for industrial metals.

Rio expects global inventory levels to come down due to demand growth exceeding output, and support LME prices.

Aluminium weekly stocks at Shanghai exchange came down by 5799 tonnes.

Warehouse stock for Aluminium at LME was at 5049225mt that is down by -9100mt.

SELL ALUMINIUM JULY @ 115 SL 116.20 TGT 113.20-111.80.MCX