Forex Update

Euro USD Technical Forex Analysis for Forex Traders

Rate usually tracking GBP lower but unable to extend losses despite good selling. Russians and Swiss names buying on the dip; inside range day suggests rate is near a bottom. Model accounts selling in EURO and GBP traders say suggesting that the rate is vulnerable to a short squeeze.

Market is heavily short now so expect a rally. Larger names buying traders say. Likely the rate has flushed all longs. Macro accounts seen selling on the break Friday. Aggressive traders can buy this dip for a return to resistance although we were stopped out of first attempt at a long.

Rate continues to track Cable and vice-versa. Now that stops are cleared a rotation higher is coming. US data this week likely to be unfriendly so be ready for whipsaw.

GBP USD Forex Analysis for Forex Traders

Rate falls hard on dovish BOE report; highs ahead of there at 1.9038 suggesting bid interest was there but was panicked. Rate on two-year lows and is an excellent buy in my view.

USD Technical Forex Analysis for Forex Traders

Despite the lack of serious fundamental news the USD whipsawed today taking out stops on both sides today. Initially weaker overnight the Greenback rallied a bit on follow-through buying but ran into ample supply as Yen-crosses dominated trade forcing USD longs to take a breather for a bit. After US data was out the USD rallied against the Yen breaking into stops above the 109.30 area for a high print at 109.75 before dropping back. Most of the USD pairs rallied with the Yen but once stocks declined and oil rallied a bit the luster wore off the Greenback and the majors began to recover.

Euro USD Technical Forex Analysis for Forex Traders

Net higher day argues for possible short-squeeze. Rate making lows in early trade but then bounces hard, technical selling evident from model accounts traders say suggesting that the rate has finally bottomed. Gap lower has been filled making for a technical buy signal from the lows.

Market is heavily short now so expect a rally. Larger names buying traders say. Likely the rate has flushed all longs. Macro accounts seen selling on the break Friday. Aggressive traders can buy this dip for a return to resistance although we were stopped out of first attempt at a long.

Rate continues to track Cable and vice-versa. Now that stops are cleared a rotation higher is coming. US data this week likely to be unfriendly so be ready for whipsaw.

GBP USD Technical Forex Analysis for Forex Traders

Rate falls back in sympathy with EURO; makes lows late in the day while other pairs hold firm suggesting cross-spreading and whipsaw. Rate is under pressure from stops under 1.9000 initially despite higher CPI. Volumes lighter into the lows. Technical buying seen from some desks, buying seen from semi-official names last week and likely more this week.

Rate has likely flushed out every long now and shorts will likely take gains soon leaving the rate vulnerable to a sharp rally. Possible buying from semi-official names so watch the news. Offers above the market mixed with stops from late shorts so be ready for whipsaw the next few days.

Traders expect GBP to track EURO through this week. Continue to expect a lot of cross-trading.

USD Forex Trading Analysis for Forex Traders

The USD ends today mixed after running stops in both directions today; whippy conditions and thinner volumes helped the Greenback to see some volatility today. Initially better on the day and into European closes the USD reversed today against Yen and EURO but held firm against GBP and Swissy.

Although the sentiment is for further USD gains most traders are reporting the recent rally may have run its course for now and with more potentially negative USD news due the next few days some traders are seeing profit taking on the sell side today. Rumors of Russian bids and Swiss bids in EURO helped to underpin that rate with the pair making highs in early New York after the release of better Balance of trade data today.

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