Commodity Trading Tips for Aluminium by Kedia Commodity

Aluminium on MCX settled down -0.47% at 116.85 despite of news Alcoa shut a potline at its Australian Portland smelter due to a power shortage. China’s official manufacturing PMI of 51.7 for November was the highest reading in two years. The figure was better than the forecast of 51 and October’s reading of 51.2. The Caixin manufacturing PMI for November at 50.9 was in line with expectations but lower than October’s reading of 51.2. Throughout the year, the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) has injected billions of yuan into the economy to stabilize growth and ensure the country expands at a clip of 6.5-7%. LME aluminium stocks and cancelled warrants fell 5,575 tonnes to 2,139,275 tonnes and 753,050 tonnes, respectively. The U.S labor market showed that the economy created more jobs than expected in November while the jobless rate unexpectedly fell, according to official data. Non-farm payrolls rose 178,000 in November, compared to the rise of 142,000 in October that was revised from the initial reading of 161,000. The data beat the consensus estimate for the creation of 175,000 jobs. The jobless rate unexpectedly fell to 4.6% from the prior 4.9%. Average hourly earnings fell month-on-month by 0.1%, compared to the prior increase of 0.4%. The increase in wages is being closely monitored by the Federal Reserve for evidence of diminishing slack in the labor market and upward pressure on inflation. Technically market is under long liquidation as market has witnessed drop in open interest by -9.97% to settled at 3378 while prices down -0.55 rupee, now Aluminium is getting support at 116.3 and below same could see a test of 115.7 level, And resistance is now likely to be seen at 117.5, a move above could see prices testing 118.1.

Trading Ideas:

Aluminium trading range for the day is 115.7-118.1.

Aluminium dropped despite of news Alcoa shut a potline at its Australian Portland smelter due to a power shortage.

Throughout the year, the PBoC has injected billions of yuan into the economy to stabilize growth and ensure the country expands at a clip of 6.5-7%.

The U.S labor market showed that the economy created more jobs than expected in November while the jobless rate unexpectedly fell.