USD Technical Forex Analysis for Daily Traders

The USD ended near the highs of the day in late New York as the major pairs failed to hold early overnight gains. Despite a higher opening on Wall Street equities gains fizzled as investor confidence started the week on a down note; early excitement over the Chinese stimulus package announced over the weekend did not attract further buying. Traders note that continued concerns over emergency funding requested for the car makers weighed on investors as well as volatility in energy prices; crude oil had near a $6.50 range on the day before giving back gains and closing slightly better.

With a US bank holiday due tomorrow liquidity in the markets was light and many desks only had skeleton crews as traders made a long weekend out of the Tuesday holiday. FX markets will be closed in the US for most of the day tomorrow and overnight action is expected to be very light as well; traders say that the exceptionally lower volumes and thin conditions likely exaggerated moves in the Greenback again today after early volumes died post-fix today. After a better start overnight despite cross-spreading for other pairs, the GBP made marginal lows late in the day for a low print at 1.5582 with volumes described as dismal. EURO/GBP cross made lifetime highs overnight before correcting but the focus remains centered on the EURO side of the cross; traders note that despite pressure from GBP EURO held up technically well and analysts note technically bullish developments point to a potential short-squeeze coming soon.

Tomorrow's action is expected to be light and tight-ranged with EURO likely to remain within existing ranges barring any unforeseen fundamental developments. High prints in EURO at 1.2928 were not challenged in New York after the open; low prints came late in the session at 1.2739 before bids showed up. USD/JPY failed to advance as equities advanced on the open leaving the 99.49 highs intact and slowly deflated lower all day; low prints at 97.59 remain under threat into the close. On the day the USD is trading inside established ranges with more of the same expected in holiday trade tomorrow. In my view, any dip in the majors is a buying opportunity and aggressive traders can buy further weakness in EURO and GBP; under the 1.2700 handle in EURO and under the 1.5500 area in GBP. Look for a bit of follow-on selling of the majors overnight but due to holiday trade conditions will likely be thin and whippy.

Today's US Dollar Trading

• USD holds gains despite thin conditions
• Equities fail to advance, oil rallies but fades
• China news not enough to inspire confidence

Overnight Preview

• Holiday trade will make for thin conditions
• Look for continued two-way action in thin trade

Looking Ahead to Tuesday
All times EASTERN (-5 GMT)

• 10:00am USD IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism
• All Day USD Bank Holiday—Veterans Day

Forex Analysis by Jason Alan Jankovsky at ForexPros.com. For more details about Forex Trading and Tips for decent earnings through Forex Trading, Please check http://www.forexpros.com

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