Sunteck Realty Share Price Could Reach Rs 650: Prabhudas Lilladher Reiterates BUY CALL
Sunteck Realty is firmly positioning itself as a leader in Mumbai's premium and luxury residential market. In its latest earnings report, the company posted strong pre-sales growth, stable EBITDA margins, and a lean balance sheet, signaling a healthy trajectory. With its robust pipeline of launches—including an entry into the Dubai real estate space—Sunteck has guided for 30% YoY pre-sales growth in FY26. Prabhudas Lilladher has reiterated a BUY rating on the stock, with a target price of Rs 650, citing favorable demand trends, capital-efficient project rollouts, and a gradual expansion of its luxury and mid-income footprint.
Robust Pre-Sales Momentum Anchored by Luxury Projects
Sunteck Realty’s Q4FY25 pre-sales rose 28% YoY, driven by strong demand in its high-end portfolio. The Nepean Sea Road launch led the charge, contributing significantly to the company’s Rs 8.7 billion in total bookings. Three marquee Bandra Kurla Complex (BKC) projects and Nepean together accounted for 66% of total pre-sales in Q4FY25. Average realizations also jumped 143% YoY to Rs 26,166 per square foot.
The company’s ability to consistently monetize ultra-luxury inventory in an otherwise price-sensitive market reflects its deep brand equity and targeting precision.
Collection Trends Mixed but Set to Improve in FY26
While collections grew 5% YoY to Rs 3.1 billion, they declined 8% sequentially. The softness is attributed to a higher share of early-stage project bookings, particularly in luxury projects that require lower initial cash outflows. Sunteck expects collection efficiency to ramp up from FY26 onwards as more phases reach advanced execution.
One key milestone will be the occupation certificate (OC) for 4th Avenue in Sunteck City (Goregaon), expected in FY26, which will unlock significant revenue recognition and bolster cash inflows.
FY26 Pipeline: Five Key Launches to Drive Momentum
The company is planning five major launches across income segments with a cumulative gross development value (GDV) of over Rs 80 billion. These include:
Nepean Sea Road (Ultra-Luxury): GDV of Rs 50 billion
5th Avenue, Goregaon (Mid-Income): One tower with GDV of Rs 15 billion
Sky Park, Mira Road: GDV of Rs 7 billion
Sunteck Beach Residences, Vasai: Two towers with Rs 4.5 billion GDV
Sunteck World, Naigaon: New phase worth Rs 3.5 billion
This diversified rollout ensures strong visibility across price segments, protecting margins while expanding Sunteck’s brand across the MMR region.
Dubai Foray: Design Phase Nears Completion
Sunteck is preparing to launch its first international project in Dubai by late FY26 or early FY27. Currently in advanced stages of design and regulatory approval, the project will add geographic diversification and tap into high-margin global real estate markets. Analysts expect this move to enhance brand equity and long-term earnings potential.
Stable Operational Margins Reflect Disciplined Cost Management
Q4FY25 EBITDA stood at Rs 687 million, marking a 41.2% QoQ increase, with margins improving to 33.3%. While revenues dipped 52% YoY due to the timing of revenue recognition, PAT grew sequentially to Rs 504 million. Sunteck continues to maintain a lean cost structure, with no overhang from legacy inventory or debt-heavy projects.
Balance Sheet Strength: Debt-Free Growth Path
The company improved its net cash position by Rs 640 million in Q4FY25, taking total net cash to Rs 1.25 billion. Net debt-to-equity stands at -0.02x, offering Sunteck significant flexibility for opportunistic land acquisitions and project launches. The company also generated Rs 3.74 billion in operating cash flow during FY25, further bolstering liquidity.
Financial Forecast and Revised Estimates
FY26 revenue and earnings estimates were revised downward due to a shift in revenue booking for the One World project to FY27. Despite this, FY27 forecasts remain intact. The firm projects FY27 EPS at Rs 39.2, with an estimated EBITDA of Rs 7.36 billion. The FY26 EPS has been adjusted to Rs 23.7.
Metric | FY25 | FY26E | FY27E |
---|---|---|---|
Revenue (Rs mn) | 8,531 | 13,382 | 24,412 |
EBITDA (Rs mn) | 1,858 | 4,255 | 7,363 |
EBITDA Margin (%) | 21.8% | 31.8% | 30.2% |
EPS (Rs) | 10.3 | 23.7 | 39.2 |
Segment Performance Breakdown
Uber luxury projects contributed Rs 5.73 billion to Q4 pre-sales, while high mid-income segments added Rs 2.35 billion. The low mid-income category, represented by Sunteck World in Naigaon, brought in Rs 540 million. Collections followed a similar pattern with the luxury and mid-income categories accounting for the bulk.
This mix signals a shift in buyer preference toward upscale offerings with superior amenities and strategic locations.
Valuation Outlook and Investment Case
With a net asset value (NAV) of Rs 650 per share, the stock offers significant upside from the current market price of Rs 401. At 16.9x FY26E and 10.2x FY27E earnings, Sunteck trades at attractive forward multiples relative to peers, with room for rerating as earnings visibility improves.
Valuation Metric | FY26E | FY27E |
---|---|---|
Price/Earnings (P/E) | 16.9x | 10.2x |
EV/EBITDA | 14.1x | 8.1x |
Return on Equity (RoE) | 10.2% | 14.9% |
Bottomline: Sunteck's Premium Positioning Remains Intact
Prabhudas Lilladher maintains its BUY recommendation with a target price of Rs 650, citing strong pre-sales, robust execution, and an asset-light strategy as key positives. The company’s unique blend of luxury offerings, efficient capital allocation, and geographic diversification make it a long-term compounder in the real estate space.
Investors looking for sustainable growth in India’s premium residential market may find Sunteck Realty an attractive proposition.