Navin Fluorine Share Price Target at Rs 4,895: Deven Choksey Research
Navin Fluorine’s Q4FY25 result signals a turning point in its specialty chemicals trajectory. Despite revenue falling slightly short of projections, the company posted a sharp rise in margins and earnings, backed by operational strength in its Contract Development and Manufacturing Organization (CDMO) and High-Performance Products (HPP) segments. Deven Choksey & Co. has reiterated an “ACCUMULATE” rating on the stock, with a revised price target of Rs 4,895, implying a 14.2% upside from the current market price of Rs 4,288. The optimism stems from margin resilience, new capacity commercialization, and strategic international partnerships.
Strong Q4FY25 Financials Reflect Operational Momentum
Navin Fluorine reported Q4FY25 revenue of Rs 7,009 million, up 16.4% YoY and 15.6% sequentially. While this was 16.8% below estimates, operational performance made up for the shortfall.
EBITDA surged 62.4% YoY to Rs 1,787 million, with the margin expanding 721 bps YoY to 25.5%.
Profit After Tax (PAT) rose 34.9% YoY to Rs 950 million. Despite a modest miss in topline, bottom-line growth was driven by gross margin expansion and better product mix in the HPP and CDMO segments.
CDMO and HPP Segments Steer Growth
Navin Fluorine’s CDMO segment saw extraordinary growth:
- Revenue jumped 139.6% YoY to Rs 1,150 million, backed by successful scale-up of U.S. and European client projects.
- A Master Supply Agreement (MSA) secured demand visibility for CY25E, and new commercial volumes are expected in FY26E.
Meanwhile, the HPP segment recorded Rs 3,260 million in revenue, growing 9.8% YoY. The commercial launch of its second R-32 plant in March 2025 helped the division run at optimal capacity. Robust demand for R-32 and HFOs globally underpinned the momentum.
Specialty Chemicals Remain Flat But Positioning Strengthens
While specialty chemical revenues remained stable YoY at Rs 2,590 million (+0.8%), operationally:
- Production commenced at the Dahej facility in December 2024 and expansion at Surat is underway.
- Plans to commercialize two new molecules in FY26E reflect a push into innovation-led growth.
Margin Tailwinds from Pricing, Mix and Utilization
Gross margin stood at 54.2% in Q4FY25, up 420bps YoY. Despite raw material inflation (notably sulfur), the company improved operating leverage.
EBITDA margin climbed to 25.5% supported by:
- Improved realizations in HPP (especially R-32 and HFOs).
- Higher capacity utilization at Surat and Dahej in Specialty Chemicals.
- CDMO pipeline strengthening with scale-up of cGMP4 facility.
Strategic Partnerships for Future Growth
Navin Fluorine has laid the foundation for long-term high-margin business through two global partnerships:
Chemours Deal: Will produce Opteon™ immersion cooling fluids for data centers using AI chips. The Rs 1,200 million plant in Surat, funded partly by Chemours, is expected to go live by Q1FY27E.
Buss ChemTech JV: Focused on producing high-purity Anhydrous Hydrogen Fluoride (AHF) for solar and semiconductor applications. The Rs 4,500 million capex project is targeted for commissioning by Q2FY26E.
Capex Pipeline and Guidance
For FY26E, Navin Fluorine has earmarked capex of Rs 5,000–6,000 million, distributed across:
- HPP segment expansion.
- CDMO facility (Phase I commissioning by Q3FY26E, Phase II in planning).
- Advanced materials segment under Chemours alliance.
Depreciation is estimated at Rs 1,400 million/year, while interest costs are projected at Rs 1,300–1,350 million with a goal to reduce leverage in the medium term.
Valuation and Target Level
Deven Choksey & Co. values Navin Fluorine at 42x FY27E EPS, implying a 12-month target of Rs 4,895. The stock is currently trading at Rs 4,288, presenting a 14.2% upside potential.
Key financial estimates:
Metric | FY25 | FY26E | FY27E |
---|---|---|---|
Revenue (Rs Mn) | 23,494 | 30,807 | 36,602 |
EBITDA Margin | 22.7% | 26.0% | 26.5% |
EPS (Rs) | 58.1 | 92.3 | 116.6 |
Adj. PAT (Rs Mn) | 2,886 | 4,578 | 5,781 |
Investor Takeaway
Navin Fluorine has emerged as a compelling bet within the specialty chemicals landscape, powered by scalable CDMO operations, forward-looking global partnerships, and margin resilience. The company is executing a differentiated strategy with global relevance, particularly in cooling fluids, agro-intermediates, and pharma chemistry.
The recommended action from Deven Choksey remains “ACCUMULATE” with a near-term upside of over 14%. With commercialization of new capacities slated across FY26–27, and global demand tailwinds intact, the stock offers an attractive medium- to long-term investment opportunity.