Muthoot Finance, L&T Finance, and Marico Share Price Touches Yearly Highs; Bullish Breakout on Technical Charts

Muthoot Finance, L&T Finance, and Marico Share Price Touches Yearly Highs; Bullish Breakout on Technical Charts

Marico, Muthoot Finance and L&T Finance touched 52-week highs during the session as Indian markets hover around all-time highs. Many of these companies have offered wonderful returns to long term investors and the current technical charts suggest further momentum. Muthoot Finance rides a gold-price updraft and a last-minute regulatory reprieve, pushing its stock to record territory. L&T Finance accelerates a “retailisation” blueprint—98 percent of its loan book now consumer-facing—while a fresh pivot to gold loans diversifies risk. Marico, the FMCG stalwart, prints double-digit top-line growth on the back of Saffola’s pricing engine and a thaw in rural sentiment, though its valuation stretches industry norms. This deep dive dissects the numbers, regulations and analyst rhetoric shaping each narrative, extracting actionable conclusions for portfolio managers hunting alpha in India’s crowded mid-cap lane.

Muthoot Finance: Gold’s Gilded Moment

Regulatory breathing room fuels a swift re-rating
The Ministry of Finance has asked the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to postpone stringent gold-loan norms until January 2026. That directive triggered a 7 percent single-day jump in Muthoot Finance shares, erasing near-term compliance overhang and reinforcing the company’s 46-percent, one-year price return.
Q4 FY25 scorecard sets new records

Consolidated net profit: Rs 1,444 crore, +22 percent YoY

Assets under management: Rs 1.22 lakh crore, +37 percent YoY

Stand-alone profit after tax for FY25: Rs 5,201 crore

Dividend: Rs 26 per share, highest in corporate history

Strategic expansion
Muthoot’s tie-ups with PhonePe and GPay broaden lead funnels in semi-urban geographies, while rising gold prices lift the average ticket size per pledge. Management stresses its low auction-loss ratio—a key hedge against price volatility.

Analyst temperature check

Buy: 52.6 percent

Hold: 26.3 percent

Sell: 21.1 percent
Average 12-month target: Rs 2,512—slightly below spot after a parabolic run, suggesting the shares may cool before their next ascent.

L&T Finance: Retail Engine at Full Throttle

Loan book now 98 percent retail
In Q1 FY26, L&T Finance’s retail portfolio swelled to Rs 99,800 crore, propelled by 18 percent YoY disbursement growth to Rs 17,510 crore. A newly acquired gold-loan vertical logged Rs 1,530 crore in maiden-quarter disbursements.

Share-price trajectory
The counter printed an all-time high of Rs 209.80 on 3 July 2025, adding 10 percent over twelve months. Yet a 4.6 percent dip in June hints at profit-taking ahead of Q1 results due 18 July.

Valuation and governance
At 19.2× trailing earnings, the stock trades at a haircut to the 29.4× peer average, aided by an ESG score of 82.9 (Grade A). A board-level departure on 1 July bears watching but has not dented sentiment.

Street view

Buy: 68.4 percent

Hold: 5.3 percent

Sell: 26.3 percent
Average target: Rs 185.68—below market, indicating a fully priced asset unless earnings beat.

Marico: Premium Staples, Premium Multiple

Q1 FY26 update sends shares to 52-week high
Marico jumped 4 percent to Rs 744.45 on 4 July after projecting “low-twenties” consolidated revenue growth and improved rural traction.

Segment highlights

Saffola Oils: High-twenties revenue uplift, mid-single-digit volume rise post-duty cut

Value-Added Hair Oils: Low-double-digit growth led by premium SKUs

Foods & Premium Personal Care: Continues steady double-digit climb

International: High-teen constant-currency growth, led by Bangladesh resilience

Dividend sweetener
Board proposes a Rs 7 final dividend, taking FY25 payout to Rs 10.50 per share.

Valuation stretch
With a 55.8× P/E, Marico trades above Hindustan Unilever and Britannia. Still, 71 percent of covering analysts keep a Buy, targeting Rs 764—about 7 percent upside.

Comparative Valuation Snapshot

Metric Muthoot
Finance
L&T
Finance
Marico
P/E (TTM) 20.7x 19.2× 55.8×
One-year price return +46 % +10 % +19 %
Analyst Buy ratio 53 % 68 % 71 %
Dividend yield ≈1.4 %

Macro and Sector Cross-Currents

Gold-price drift: A weakening rupee or geopolitical flare-ups could extend bullion’s rally, indirectly buoying Muthoot and L&T’s nascent gold-loan arm.

Interest-rate outlook: A benign RBI stance supports NBFC margins; surprise hikes could squeeze spreads.

Rural revival: Monsoon normalisation aids Marico’s mass-market segments—offsetting commodity cost inflation.

Actionable Conclusions

Muthoot Finance: Momentum traders may bank gains, but fundamental investors can add on retracements toward Rs 2,350–2,400, banking on structural gold demand and digital lead aggregation.

L&T Finance: Hold existing positions pending 18 July earnings; a clean beat could justify rerating above Rs 215. Tight stop-loss at Rs 187 advised.

Marico: Accumulate on dips below Rs 720 for a 12-month play on premiumisation and rural bounce-back; monitor margin narrative closely.

Bottomline for Traders and Short Term Investors

India’s mid-cap lens reveals three variants of growth: regulatory tailwind (Muthoot), strategic pivot (L&T Finance) and brand-led pricing power (Marico). Each story carries distinct catalysts and caveats, yet all showcase how deft management and favourable macro shifts can unlock outsized shareholder value. Astute investors should allocate selectively, respect valuation ceilings, and keep a vigilant eye on policy and commodity currents that could reshape the terrain overnight.

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