Commodity Trading Tips for Crude Palm Oil by Kedia Commodity

CPO on MCX settled up 3.86% at 532.9 on expectation of improvement in demand at lower level. Global palm oil output is expected to rise by 5.5 million tons during oil year 2016-17. However, during current calendar year world CPO output may drop by 3.3 million tons to 59.2 million tons as El Nino brought scorching heat across Southeast Asia, hitting palm yields and lowering output, report said. In 2016, CPO output in Indonesia, the biggest palm oil producer, may fall by 100,000 tons to 32.2 million tons while in Malaysia, the world's second biggest palm oil producer, output is expected fall by 300,000 tons to 17.8 million tons. In calendar year 2017, global supplies of CPO will be tight from now until March while output may rebound by 5.7-6.3 million tons. During 2017, Indonesia is expected to produces 35 million tons of palm oil while output in Malaysia may decline by 100,000 tons to 20.5 million tons. According to cargo surveyor Societe Generale de Surveillance, Malaysian's October 1-10 palm oil exports rose 1.9 percent to 403,650 tons compared to 395,970 tons in corresponding period last month. Palm oil exports from Indonesia, the world's largest producer, probably jumped the most in almost two years in August after China stepped up imports to meet rising demand during festivals. Technically market is under short covering as market has witnessed drop in open interest by -2.86% to settled at 6172 while prices up 19.8 rupee, now CPO is getting support at 521 and below same could see a test of 509 level, And resistance is now likely to be seen at 539.3, a move above could see prices testing 545.6.

Trading Ideas:

CPO trading range for the day is 509-545.6.

Crude palm oil prices gained on expectation of improvement in demand at lower level.

Global palm oil output is expected to rise by 5.5 million tons during oil year 2016-17.

Malaysian's October 1-10 palm oil exports rose 1.9 percent to 403,650 tons compared to 395,970 tons in corresponding period last month.

Crude palm oil prices in spot market gained by 7.00 rupees and settled at 554.40 rupees.